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http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-ontario-1990-election-1.4675425
What the 1990 election can - and can't - tell us about the Ontario NDP's chances today
Andrea Horwath's New Democrats have made significant gains in the polls since the Ontario election campaign kicked off a little more than two weeks ago. Though Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives are still in a better spot to win the most seats, the possibility that the NDP will form the next government in Ontario is quite real.
It's like 1990 all over again. Or is it?
In 1990, the Ontario New Democrats formed government for the first and only time in their history. But the campaign did not start out with Bob Rae's party as the favourite.
Far from it — the incumbent Liberals under David Peterson had a 24-point lead over the NDP in a June 1990 poll conducted by Environics.
What the 1990 election can - and can't - tell us about the Ontario NDP's chances today
Andrea Horwath's New Democrats have made significant gains in the polls since the Ontario election campaign kicked off a little more than two weeks ago. Though Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives are still in a better spot to win the most seats, the possibility that the NDP will form the next government in Ontario is quite real.
It's like 1990 all over again. Or is it?
In 1990, the Ontario New Democrats formed government for the first and only time in their history. But the campaign did not start out with Bob Rae's party as the favourite.
Far from it — the incumbent Liberals under David Peterson had a 24-point lead over the NDP in a June 1990 poll conducted by Environics.
Filibuster_HK
Exit polls point to landslide vote to relax Irish abortion laws
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/may/25/ireland-votes-to-relax-abortion-laws?
Ireland has voted by a landslide to lift the ban on abortion that had been enshrined in its constitution for three decades, the first exit polls from a historic referendum suggest.
If confirmed at Saturday’s count, the shock result – three years after Ireland became the first country in the world to approve same-sex marriage by a popular vote – would underline the speed and scale of change in a country that is still majority Catholic.
The Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll late on Friday suggested a 68% to 32% vote in favour of yes. The RTE exit poll of 3,000 voters suggested that 69.4% voted yes in the referendum compared to 30.6% who said no.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/may/25/ireland-votes-to-relax-abortion-laws?
Ireland has voted by a landslide to lift the ban on abortion that had been enshrined in its constitution for three decades, the first exit polls from a historic referendum suggest.
If confirmed at Saturday’s count, the shock result – three years after Ireland became the first country in the world to approve same-sex marriage by a popular vote – would underline the speed and scale of change in a country that is still majority Catholic.
The Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll late on Friday suggested a 68% to 32% vote in favour of yes. The RTE exit poll of 3,000 voters suggested that 69.4% voted yes in the referendum compared to 30.6% who said no.
Filibuster_HK
Korean leaders meet in surprise summit
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-44265287
Leaders of both Koreas meet in border zone as efforts continue to reschedule Donald Trump's summit with Kim Jong-un
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-44265287
Leaders of both Koreas meet in border zone as efforts continue to reschedule Donald Trump's summit with Kim Jong-un
Filibuster_HK
Irish abortion referendum: first official results show lead for yes – live
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2018/may/26/irish-abortion-referendum-result-count-begins-live
愛爾蘭公投開票
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2018/may/26/irish-abortion-referendum-result-count-begins-live
愛爾蘭公投開票
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韓半島新聞平台
https://www.facebook.com/knewsonline/
【速報】南韓總統文在寅剛才於總統府青瓦台舉行記者會，說明昨天與北韓領袖金正恩會談的內容，《韓半島》為各位整理如下：
1. 北韓領袖金正恩在25日下午首先向文總統提議，希望兩人能不拘任何形式會面，文總統爽快答應。
2. 文總統向金正恩傳達川普總統希望正向發展美朝關係的堅定意志，表示落北韓落實非核化，美國將終結與北韓的敵對關係；但金正恩對美國能否給予體制保障，感到懷疑。
3. 金正恩向總統再次傳達非核化的意志，但剛才青瓦台採訪記者進一步詢問文總統有關北韓棄核的方式，文總統則回應，這得等到金正恩與川普總統直接會面討論，由自己來說明並不恰當。
4. 而文總統與金正恩達成共識，在川金會舉行前，美朝雙方有必再舉行實務協商，先前遭北韓片面宣布終止的南北實務協商，也將於6月1日舉行，
5. 韓朝再次確定6月12日美朝峰會如期舉行的必要性，而南北首腦為讓美朝會談成功而緊密合作中。
6. 文總統強調，必要時，韓朝雙方在任何時即都可互相通訊溝通，而完全非核化與實踐和平之路不會很順利，但「必將成功」。
另外，川普總統剛才也在白宮表示：「美朝會談的準備正順利進行中，6.12舉行美朝元首峰會並不會有變化…還會發生什麼事，讓我們再觀望。」
(整理：楊虔豪，截圖自MBC電視台)
https://www.facebook.com/knewsonline/
【速報】南韓總統文在寅剛才於總統府青瓦台舉行記者會，說明昨天與北韓領袖金正恩會談的內容，《韓半島》為各位整理如下：
1. 北韓領袖金正恩在25日下午首先向文總統提議，希望兩人能不拘任何形式會面，文總統爽快答應。
2. 文總統向金正恩傳達川普總統希望正向發展美朝關係的堅定意志，表示落北韓落實非核化，美國將終結與北韓的敵對關係；但金正恩對美國能否給予體制保障，感到懷疑。
3. 金正恩向總統再次傳達非核化的意志，但剛才青瓦台採訪記者進一步詢問文總統有關北韓棄核的方式，文總統則回應，這得等到金正恩與川普總統直接會面討論，由自己來說明並不恰當。
4. 而文總統與金正恩達成共識，在川金會舉行前，美朝雙方有必再舉行實務協商，先前遭北韓片面宣布終止的南北實務協商，也將於6月1日舉行，
5. 韓朝再次確定6月12日美朝峰會如期舉行的必要性，而南北首腦為讓美朝會談成功而緊密合作中。
6. 文總統強調，必要時，韓朝雙方在任何時即都可互相通訊溝通，而完全非核化與實踐和平之路不會很順利，但「必將成功」。
另外，川普總統剛才也在白宮表示：「美朝會談的準備正順利進行中，6.12舉行美朝元首峰會並不會有變化…還會發生什麼事，讓我們再觀望。」
(整理：楊虔豪，截圖自MBC電視台)
Filibuster_HK
Colombia election: Run-off expected in first vote since Farc deal
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-44272907
Colombia is heading for a run-off in its presidential election after no candidate achieved 50% of the vote in Sunday's first round.
With nearly all ballots counted in Sunday's first round, conservative Ivan Duque was leading with 39.7% ahead of left-wing rival Gustavo Petro on 24.8%.
It is the first election since the government signed a peace agreement with the Farc rebel group in 2016.
The deal has polarised political opinion across the country.
Mr Duque has opposed the peace deal, saying it is too lenient on the Farc. But Mr Petro, an ex-guerrilla and former Bogota mayor, supports the accord.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-44272907
Colombia is heading for a run-off in its presidential election after no candidate achieved 50% of the vote in Sunday's first round.
With nearly all ballots counted in Sunday's first round, conservative Ivan Duque was leading with 39.7% ahead of left-wing rival Gustavo Petro on 24.8%.
It is the first election since the government signed a peace agreement with the Farc rebel group in 2016.
The deal has polarised political opinion across the country.
Mr Duque has opposed the peace deal, saying it is too lenient on the Farc. But Mr Petro, an ex-guerrilla and former Bogota mayor, supports the accord.
Filibuster_HK
Italy’s president scotches populist governing alliance
https://www.politico.eu/article/italys-premier-designate-steps-down-after-failed-cabinet-talks/
ROME — Italy’s messy post-election drama on Sunday night took another stunning turn.
The country’s president rejected a proposed populist 5Star-League alliance that included a Euroskeptic as economy minister and looked poised to appoint a “technocratic” government as early as Monday.
The collapse of the proposed coalition leaves Italy on an uncertain path in the days ahead, veering between the possibility of early elections or a technocratic government of longer duration. It also threatens a constitutional crisis, as the leaders of the 5Stars Movement and the League condemned the president and one even called for his impeachment. And it’s sure to further rattle already nervous international financial markets.
The coalition unraveled after President Sergio Mattarella refused to accept 81-year-old economist Paolo Savona, citing his opposition to the single currency. The move wasn’t wholly unprecedented: Previous presidents had used their powers to refuse to appoint a minister, though never because of their views on the euro.
After both parties refused to switch Savona out, the prime minister-designate — a little-known lawyer called Giuseppe Conte — on Sunday rejected the mandate to form a new government. The president can now call early elections or appoint a technocratic, or “presidential,” government to lead Italy until the next election.
https://www.politico.eu/article/italys-premier-designate-steps-down-after-failed-cabinet-talks/
ROME — Italy’s messy post-election drama on Sunday night took another stunning turn.
The country’s president rejected a proposed populist 5Star-League alliance that included a Euroskeptic as economy minister and looked poised to appoint a “technocratic” government as early as Monday.
The collapse of the proposed coalition leaves Italy on an uncertain path in the days ahead, veering between the possibility of early elections or a technocratic government of longer duration. It also threatens a constitutional crisis, as the leaders of the 5Stars Movement and the League condemned the president and one even called for his impeachment. And it’s sure to further rattle already nervous international financial markets.
The coalition unraveled after President Sergio Mattarella refused to accept 81-year-old economist Paolo Savona, citing his opposition to the single currency. The move wasn’t wholly unprecedented: Previous presidents had used their powers to refuse to appoint a minister, though never because of their views on the euro.
After both parties refused to switch Savona out, the prime minister-designate — a little-known lawyer called Giuseppe Conte — on Sunday rejected the mandate to form a new government. The president can now call early elections or appoint a technocratic, or “presidential,” government to lead Italy until the next election.
Filibuster_HK
Poland offers US up to $2B for permanent military base
https://www.politico.eu/article/nato-poland-offers-us-up-to-2-billion-for-permanent-american-military-base/
Poland wants a permanent U.S. military presence — and is willing to pony up as much as $2 billion to get it, according to a defense ministry proposal obtained by Polish news portal Onet.
The Polish offer reflects a long-standing desire in Warsaw to build closer security relations with the U.S. and put American boots on the ground. The push dates back to Poland’s entry into NATO in 1999, but has taken on added urgency in the wake of Russia’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea region four years ago and aggressive posture toward the alliance.
Coming just over a month before NATO leaders gather in Brussels for a summit, the Polish initiative is bound to anger Russia, and will be looked at with skepticism by European allies that want to improve relations with Moscow, such as Italy and at times Germany.
https://www.politico.eu/article/nato-poland-offers-us-up-to-2-billion-for-permanent-american-military-base/
Poland wants a permanent U.S. military presence — and is willing to pony up as much as $2 billion to get it, according to a defense ministry proposal obtained by Polish news portal Onet.
The Polish offer reflects a long-standing desire in Warsaw to build closer security relations with the U.S. and put American boots on the ground. The push dates back to Poland’s entry into NATO in 1999, but has taken on added urgency in the wake of Russia’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea region four years ago and aggressive posture toward the alliance.
Coming just over a month before NATO leaders gather in Brussels for a summit, the Polish initiative is bound to anger Russia, and will be looked at with skepticism by European allies that want to improve relations with Moscow, such as Italy and at times Germany.
Filibuster_HK
歐洲動態: 愛爾蘭放寬墮胎限制了，北愛呢？
https://europechinese.blogspot.hk/2018/05/blog-post_27.html
華拉卡以至愛爾蘭媒體形容這是「寧靜革命」，是指愛爾蘭社會在短短一代人間，意識形態由社會保守主義變成完全相反的自由派進步主義。愛爾蘭１９８３年公投修憲進一步確定墮胎限制時，是以２比１的比率大比數贊成，但現在只消３５年就把這個比例掉轉了。而且，愛爾蘭２０１５年通過同性戀婚姻合法化，現在的總理華拉卡是個出櫃同志，這幾件事都徹底打破愛爾蘭多年來的傳統、保守形象，反映愛爾蘭社會這幾十年的變化。
（南）愛爾蘭社會出現重大變化了，但北愛爾蘭呢？在幾十年前，外界覺得（南）愛爾蘭是較北愛保守的（或至少兩地同樣保守），經濟發展也較北愛落後，但現在兩地的民風（或至少給人的形象）剛好掉轉。以墮胎為例，愛爾蘭也放寬墮胎了，北愛目前的法例跟愛爾蘭原本的法例一樣，成為西歐中近乎禁止墮胎的最大地區（另一個是地中海島國馬耳他，該國是十分虔誠的天主教國家）。
北愛保守、或至少法律上保守，一大原因是當地最大黨是奉行強硬社會保守主義的新教、親英政黨民主統一黨（ＤＵＰ），他們在社會議題的看法是與美國福音派看齊，除了反同性戀、反墮胎，ＤＵＰ也認為學校應教導「神創論」，否定進化論，亦懷疑氣候變化是否涉及人為。ＤＵＰ有能力否決所有放寬墮胎等社會政策的法例。
當然，大家還記得的話，保守黨政府是少數派政府，依賴ＤＵＰ在國會下議院的１０票才能執政。ＤＵＰ已表明北愛爾蘭不能被「恐嚇」去放寬墮胎，因此文翠珊為了在脫歐談判期間不致政府倒台，她無可能插手北愛的墮胎問題。
不過，同性戀婚姻、墮胎等社會議題，北愛跟愛爾蘭一樣，分野不在教徒／非教徒、城市／鄉郊，而在於年齡，長者傾向反墮胎，年輕一代——包括天主教徒、親英派及鄉郊居民，在社會議題都傾向持較自由派的立場。所以，跟華拉卡去年說同性戀婚姻一樣，北愛遲早都會放寬墮胎限制。
https://europechinese.blogspot.hk/2018/05/blog-post_27.html
華拉卡以至愛爾蘭媒體形容這是「寧靜革命」，是指愛爾蘭社會在短短一代人間，意識形態由社會保守主義變成完全相反的自由派進步主義。愛爾蘭１９８３年公投修憲進一步確定墮胎限制時，是以２比１的比率大比數贊成，但現在只消３５年就把這個比例掉轉了。而且，愛爾蘭２０１５年通過同性戀婚姻合法化，現在的總理華拉卡是個出櫃同志，這幾件事都徹底打破愛爾蘭多年來的傳統、保守形象，反映愛爾蘭社會這幾十年的變化。
（南）愛爾蘭社會出現重大變化了，但北愛爾蘭呢？在幾十年前，外界覺得（南）愛爾蘭是較北愛保守的（或至少兩地同樣保守），經濟發展也較北愛落後，但現在兩地的民風（或至少給人的形象）剛好掉轉。以墮胎為例，愛爾蘭也放寬墮胎了，北愛目前的法例跟愛爾蘭原本的法例一樣，成為西歐中近乎禁止墮胎的最大地區（另一個是地中海島國馬耳他，該國是十分虔誠的天主教國家）。
北愛保守、或至少法律上保守，一大原因是當地最大黨是奉行強硬社會保守主義的新教、親英政黨民主統一黨（ＤＵＰ），他們在社會議題的看法是與美國福音派看齊，除了反同性戀、反墮胎，ＤＵＰ也認為學校應教導「神創論」，否定進化論，亦懷疑氣候變化是否涉及人為。ＤＵＰ有能力否決所有放寬墮胎等社會政策的法例。
當然，大家還記得的話，保守黨政府是少數派政府，依賴ＤＵＰ在國會下議院的１０票才能執政。ＤＵＰ已表明北愛爾蘭不能被「恐嚇」去放寬墮胎，因此文翠珊為了在脫歐談判期間不致政府倒台，她無可能插手北愛的墮胎問題。
不過，同性戀婚姻、墮胎等社會議題，北愛跟愛爾蘭一樣，分野不在教徒／非教徒、城市／鄉郊，而在於年齡，長者傾向反墮胎，年輕一代——包括天主教徒、親英派及鄉郊居民，在社會議題都傾向持較自由派的立場。所以，跟華拉卡去年說同性戀婚姻一樣，北愛遲早都會放寬墮胎限制。
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Giuliani Admits ‘Spygate’ Is PR in Anticipation of Impeachment
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/05/giuliani-admits-spygate-is-pr-about-impeachment.html
Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani confirmed on Sunday that the president and his allies’ attempts to discredit the Mueller investigation — including the most recent so-called Spygate controversy — are part of a public relations campaign aimed at staving off impeachment. “It is for public opinion,” the former New York mayor admitted during an appearance on CNN’s State of the Union. And while trying to shape public opinion is the rarely acknowledged goal of any presidential administration, what Giuliani said next was unique to Trump’s: “Because eventually the decision here is going to be impeach or not impeach.”
Giuliani’s comment came amid pressure from host Dana Bash to acknowledge that he and Trump were using a “very specific, very political strategy to undermine [the Mueller] investigation,” highlighting how a recent poll revealed a 15 percent drop in the number of Republicans who wanted Trump to testify in the probe. Bash and Giuliani had already talked about the unfounded Spygate allegation by Trump and his allies that the FBI had installed a spy in the Trump campaign to set up for collusion charges. (The FBI had actually warned Trump that Russia was trying to infiltrate his campaign.)
重點有二:
1. 指控FBI放間諜入Trump競選團隊係PR舉動
2. 佢似乎相當肯定國會將會彈劾Trump, 所以已經做定嘢影響輿論
到底點解佢咁肯定會有彈劾呢
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/05/giuliani-admits-spygate-is-pr-about-impeachment.html
Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani confirmed on Sunday that the president and his allies’ attempts to discredit the Mueller investigation — including the most recent so-called Spygate controversy — are part of a public relations campaign aimed at staving off impeachment. “It is for public opinion,” the former New York mayor admitted during an appearance on CNN’s State of the Union. And while trying to shape public opinion is the rarely acknowledged goal of any presidential administration, what Giuliani said next was unique to Trump’s: “Because eventually the decision here is going to be impeach or not impeach.”
Giuliani’s comment came amid pressure from host Dana Bash to acknowledge that he and Trump were using a “very specific, very political strategy to undermine [the Mueller] investigation,” highlighting how a recent poll revealed a 15 percent drop in the number of Republicans who wanted Trump to testify in the probe. Bash and Giuliani had already talked about the unfounded Spygate allegation by Trump and his allies that the FBI had installed a spy in the Trump campaign to set up for collusion charges. (The FBI had actually warned Trump that Russia was trying to infiltrate his campaign.)
重點有二:
1. 指控FBI放間諜入Trump競選團隊係PR舉動
2. 佢似乎相當肯定國會將會彈劾Trump, 所以已經做定嘢影響輿論
到底點解佢咁肯定會有彈劾呢
:^(
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/may/25/close-result-expected-in-irelands-abortion-referendum
The people of Ireland will vote on Friday in a historic referendum on whether to repeal or retain a constitutional clause protecting the rights of the unborn that has produced one of the most restrictive abortion regimes in the world.
The outcome of the vote, expected to be close following a polarised and often acrimonious campaign, will either confirm Ireland on its journey from a conservative Catholic country to a socially liberal one, or indicate that social reforms over recent decades have reached their limit.
If the vote is in favour of repeal, the government plans to introduce legislation permitting unrestricted abortion during the first 12 weeks of pregnancy. Abortions up to the 23rd week will be permitted when a woman’s health is threatened and in cases of a fatal foetal abnormality.
Polling stations across Ireland open at 7am and close at 10pm. Counting will begin on Saturday morning, with the final result expected to be formally announced in the late afternoon. However, the outcome may be clear earlier as results come in from key constituencies. Dublin is expected to be strongly yes-voting, and rural areas more inclined to vote no.