井中之蛙
明明Odyssey同Valhalla都有公佈銷量
:^(
:^(
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傻逼勇也
Assassin's Creed Shadows need to sell around 7 million copies to break even.
Discussion
Hello, I did some quick math and got that number in the title. Assassin's Creed Shadows cost around $250 million to develop (that was until January, meaning it did not count for another one month delay to March).
We can also add around 60% on top of that as marketing (usually marketing is between 30% - 40% on top of development, but this is a game that was HEAVILY advertised), putting the budget to around $400 million.
Assuming the impossible but best case scenario - everyone buys a $130 dollar copy of the game - this mean they would need to sell over 3,076,924 copies to break even (this is more than double of Veilguard, with less players on peak on Steam so far).
But we know almost everyone will buy the $70 version, so let's say worst case scenario - all copies are of that value - this mean it needs to sell over 5,714,286 copies just to break even!
Now let's remember, platforms like Steam and PlayStation take 30% of the sale. Let's add that 30% to the total of games needed to be sold - just multiply by 1.3. They have to sell, on the best case scenario, around 4,000,000 copies, and worst case scenario, around 7,428,572 copies.
Considering Veilguard had a higher peak - over 80k - and it was on a Monday, one could assume that Veilguard will sell more than AC Shadows, but personally I think AC Shadows has a more mainstream appeal, not as preachy as Veilguard, and has a better score on Steam than Veilguard. I think that AC Shadows can sell around 1.5 million copies in its first month, maybe pushing 2 million.
Overall? I predict with 99% confidence this game will be a flop forever, because I don't see this game selling even over 4 million copies in its lifetime at full price, MAYBE on a discount.
Anyway, not sure if my numbers on cost of development and marketing are correct, but I wonder what you guys think and we can try to guesstimate about it. Cheers.
Edit: I just read AC Shadows sold over a million in less than 24 hours. So my prediction of lifetime sales will be off, and maybe even the first month.
by Asmondgold
Discussion
Hello, I did some quick math and got that number in the title. Assassin's Creed Shadows cost around $250 million to develop (that was until January, meaning it did not count for another one month delay to March).
We can also add around 60% on top of that as marketing (usually marketing is between 30% - 40% on top of development, but this is a game that was HEAVILY advertised), putting the budget to around $400 million.
Assuming the impossible but best case scenario - everyone buys a $130 dollar copy of the game - this mean they would need to sell over 3,076,924 copies to break even (this is more than double of Veilguard, with less players on peak on Steam so far).
But we know almost everyone will buy the $70 version, so let's say worst case scenario - all copies are of that value - this mean it needs to sell over 5,714,286 copies just to break even!
Now let's remember, platforms like Steam and PlayStation take 30% of the sale. Let's add that 30% to the total of games needed to be sold - just multiply by 1.3. They have to sell, on the best case scenario, around 4,000,000 copies, and worst case scenario, around 7,428,572 copies.
Considering Veilguard had a higher peak - over 80k - and it was on a Monday, one could assume that Veilguard will sell more than AC Shadows, but personally I think AC Shadows has a more mainstream appeal, not as preachy as Veilguard, and has a better score on Steam than Veilguard. I think that AC Shadows can sell around 1.5 million copies in its first month, maybe pushing 2 million.
Overall? I predict with 99% confidence this game will be a flop forever, because I don't see this game selling even over 4 million copies in its lifetime at full price, MAYBE on a discount.
Anyway, not sure if my numbers on cost of development and marketing are correct, but I wonder what you guys think and we can try to guesstimate about it. Cheers.
Edit: I just read AC Shadows sold over a million in less than 24 hours. So my prediction of lifetime sales will be off, and maybe even the first month.
by Asmondgold
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終結者莉莉
我唔知關唔關woke撚文化事.
佢地好鐘意言過其實地講you are doing great, you are fine, 乜都好鼓勵好撚正向, 無形中都搞到d game越黎越易玩同簡單.
我睇過唔止一個utuber話黑鬼教條D指示太明顯, 反而少左探索既樂趣.
我又諗返起之前玩戰神, D解謎我卡左一分鐘唔夠, 個阿伯同個仔已經響度係咁比提示我. (好似有得熄左佢)
我記得以前刺客D潛行都唔係難, 但都無Starwars 同黑鬼呢D咁離譜.
佢地好鐘意言過其實地講you are doing great, you are fine, 乜都好鼓勵好撚正向, 無形中都搞到d game越黎越易玩同簡單.
我睇過唔止一個utuber話黑鬼教條D指示太明顯, 反而少左探索既樂趣.
我又諗返起之前玩戰神, D解謎我卡左一分鐘唔夠, 個阿伯同個仔已經響度係咁比提示我. (好似有得熄左佢)
我記得以前刺客D潛行都唔係難, 但都無Starwars 同黑鬼呢D咁離譜.
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香港美味古惑仔
https://youtu.be/UOgvbS4GkF0?si=4FVZ5slLj1CiA4FY
又要重溫, 咁多代都冇進步過
咁多錢整靚畫面, 搞宣傳, 改歷史痕跡
都唔搞搞個罐頭佢
又要重溫, 咁多代都冇進步過
咁多錢整靚畫面, 搞宣傳, 改歷史痕跡
都唔搞搞個罐頭佢