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THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 119.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118E, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CONVECTION LOCATED PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. A 101029Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE CONFIRMS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH INCREASINGLY SYMMETRICAL DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS), GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-31 DEGREES C). THERE ARE HIGH LEVELS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
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連登未經歷過正式打風
希望各位有心追風嘅巴打睇一睇第一頁嘅呼籲
唔好貼未證實消息 (例如WhatsApp流傳嘅貨櫃碼頭 船公司消息等)
唔好提及首富 (無科學根據)
唔好貼實時更新圖片 (追post會好亂)
同埋唔好回應或者quote啲on9仔嘅comment
直接無視或者block 唔好俾佢地洗版
祝大家有個愉快嘅風季 :^( :^(
連登未經歷過正式打風
希望各位有心追風嘅巴打睇一睇第一頁嘅呼籲
唔好貼未證實消息 (例如WhatsApp流傳嘅貨櫃碼頭 船公司消息等)
唔好提及首富 (無科學根據)
唔好貼實時更新圖片 (追post會好亂)
同埋唔好回應或者quote啲on9仔嘅comment
直接無視或者block 唔好俾佢地洗版
祝大家有個愉快嘅風季 :^( :^(
主要都係副高東退速度為路徑主因,
強度方面ts應該無問題,好彩的話
Sts唔係無可能,ty就真係難