亞發外父 2020-10-30 10:41:21 有冇議員改選？拉票唔一係拉總統選舉

亞發外父 2020-10-30 10:41:38

Trump did what Reagan even couldn’t?

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唔撚公平, Biden又唔係MN家鄉

why is he traveling to minnesota if he's supposedly leading there by 10 points?

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有冇議員改選？拉票唔一定係拉總統選舉

末日理論 2020-10-30 10:42:30 有senate race

亞發外父 2020-10-30 10:42:32 係

末日理論 2020-10-30 10:43:41 睇你肯唔肯信
2016佢完美咁predict到306-232
但2018佢錯到pk

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登野城尖閣 2020-10-30 10:43:42 The Trafalgar Group is a opinion polling and survey company based in Atlanta, Georgia. They utilize methods to increase the weighting of so called "shy, pro-Trump" voters which they argue to be underrepresented in most polls. [1]

During the 2016 United States presidential election, Trafalgar Group was the only polling firm showing Donald Trump winning the state of Michigan, which he ultimately did, and – according to RealClearPolitics – "nearly the only" one correctly predicting Trump's win in Pennsylvania.[7]

During the 2018 United States elections, Trafalgar Group accurately predicted both a Republican "Ron DeSantis gubernatorial victory in Florida – as well as Republican Rick Scott winning the Senate race there." Trafalgar also correctly predicted 7 of the 9 "battleground" senate races the firm polled in 2018. Those states, along with Florida, included: Michigan, Montana, Missouri, North Dakota, Texas, and West Virginia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafalgar_Group

※※ 2020-10-30 10:46:47 http://primarymodel.com/
睇吓今次準唔準

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Klopp_lfc 2020-10-30 10:48:31

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希望popular vote平手

末日理論 2020-10-30 10:51:36 有咩paths係去到362

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比佢贏哂NV AZ NM MN OH IA WI MI PA FL NC NH NE-01 ME-02都係332

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末日理論 2020-10-30 10:52:14 輸少當贏

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欺騙艾威有何難 2020-10-30 10:54:28 + NY

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Filibuster_HK 2020-10-30 10:55:31 CA

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末日理論 2020-10-30 10:55:53 DC

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Acrux 2020-10-30 10:57:29 29/10內華達州:
VBM:
DEM 249090
GOP 130463
其他 127482
Diff. DEM +118627

IPEV:
DEM 137524
GOP 210690
其他 100673
Diff. GOP +73166

Total:
DEM 386614
GOP 341153
其他 228155
Diff. DEM +45461
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/election-turnout-statistics

Las Vegas係lockdown重災區, 幾大賭場都岩岩裁咗幾仟人, 相信侵話反對lockdown會吸引到唔少支持者, 唔知郵寄票截止咗之後共和黨追唔追得切?

UST南亞仔 2020-10-30 10:57:37 President 同 midterm 的確係唔同玩法

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Banality 2020-10-30 10:59:06 係果個親侵民調，其餘民調都係嗡TRUMP 落後BIDEN 幾個%

UST南亞仔 2020-10-30 10:59:28 仲有兩日

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末日理論 2020-10-30 11:01:02 如果Trafalgar有National Popular vote poll就好

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欺騙艾威有何難 2020-10-30 11:02:49 其餘民調搖擺州都入到誤差範圍的話, 可以反映侵個勢唔係咁差
之前呢D民調吹大到

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李典 2020-10-30 11:03:03 Co同Va

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勿通膠類 2020-10-30 11:04:03 痴撚線，就算 dems 冇左翼、冇奧巴馬做 rally ，侵都冇可能過到300

啤酒花 2020-10-30 11:05:33 登登點都贏，咩民調都冇用

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欺騙艾威有何難 2020-10-30 11:08:24 黑人同拉美支持度升
黑人仲要係大升

Acrux 2020-10-30 11:12:28 https://twitter.com/LilTunechi/status/1321941986174226432

巴卡 2020-10-30 11:14:55 你都未計而家都係得mail in + early vote

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