HaHaHello
2020-10-29 21:31:32
Now, I have time to write a bit more about this.
This is also one of the methods people used to estimate the systematic errors. Another member has written some method to handle the systematic errors.
Here is an example, we have 100 people said they will vote for Trump, and 80 people said they will vote for Biden. We do beleive that they all tell the truth. Now, suppose that we think 10% of these people are lying and want to estimate the systematic error due to this 10% lying.
So, we will take 100 * 10% = 10 people out of Trump's supporters, and we also take 8 people out of Bdien's supporters. Finally, we add these people to the other group, sp now we have 98 people will votes for Tremp aqnd 82 people will votes for Biden.
We let the computer do the same calculation to get the final poll result.
The difference between these two results: , one for 100 Trump voters and 80 Biden voters; and the second one for 98 Trump voters and 82 Biden voters, is the estimated errors associated for 10% of people of lying.
People do a lot of this kind of calculations.
HaHaHello
2020-10-29 21:36:48
The best poll, IBD/TIPP, has been correct for the past 4 President Elections since 2004.
樓主 has created a post happily when the IBD/TIPP poll showed a Biden +2 result several days ago. 樓主 has said happily that (in Chinese) something like this: it is the first time Trump is within polling error behind Biden.
When the IBD/TIPP gave Biden larger lead later, then 樓主 did not refer to the poll again.
HaHaHello
2020-10-29 21:39:03
I cannot type Chinese.
ppucco(鐵三玖)
2020-10-29 21:53:42
根本唔關係唔係黑人黨，係Clinton 坤9左班rust belt 藍領個刻先變blue wall
:^(
Ads
亞發外父
2020-10-29 21:55:48
我係好奇以前共和黨點解咁多黑人票
1964年前喎
:^(
亞發外父
2020-10-29 21:56:07
Clinton都90年代啦
HaHaHello
2020-10-29 21:57:30
Update:
Democrats 2,991,015 40.5%
Republicans 2,784,101 37.7%
Minor 95,776 1.3%
No Party Affiliation 1,509,179 20.4%
TOTAL 7,380,071 100.0%
Total Voted as Percentage of Registered Voters: 52.5%
樓主: You have also not included the link. So please don't attack me for not having provide the link. Sometimes, we are all busy and do not have to time to write so much.
navy 還navy