[美國大選] 佛羅里達州早期投票首日,民主黨暫微幅領先
拿拿臨念肥賓 2020-10-29 13:15:36 下,我幾時話我睇過,咁都得
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我投降,你慢慢自high

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Nadal 2020-10-29 13:16:33 宜家暫時dem 票係領先添. 不過唔知多唔多walkaway.
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紅盒二號 2020-10-29 13:17:25 民調可信
之前係10%
依家係6%
生化武器 2020-10-29 13:18:09 GOP 比預期好好多
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反而依家想知有幾多dem投拜登
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Nadal 2020-10-29 13:20:10 就係早幾日話同Nate Silver 對賭嗰個, 佢對自己咁有信心, 你話勁唔勁?
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Klopp_lfc 2020-10-29 13:20:36 可能覺得民調好唔對路
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要放返貨
公道自在人心 2020-10-29 13:20:41 其實無咩資料睇到咩州份比上屆同時期係嚴峻左。。。
而家得佛州暫時睇都無咩問題。。。
紅盒二號 2020-10-29 13:20:41 成日希婆乞人憎
拜登依家好好咩
加税同黑人走幾多票呀
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公道自在人心 2020-10-29 13:21:21 唔止一日,今個星期有一日都大跌
HaHaHello 2020-10-29 13:22:03 Those people do not need to respond, the pollsters will adjust the raw data. Some of pollsters will add that 5% of shy Trump supporters to calculate the final result.

Let me give an example which is not so sensitive. Suppose the pollsters have interviewed 25 women and 50 men. When the calculate the poll result: they will double the number of women to 50. This is because there are about 50% of people are women and 50% of people are men.
They have to do this adjustment to correct the sampling error. I think you will also do the same thing , right? If they do not make this adjustment, then the poll result will be biased to men.
Klopp_lfc 2020-10-29 13:22:06 PA WI應該冇問題
MI反而有暗湧
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亞發外父 2020-10-29 13:23:20 我意思係成日都有升有跌
喺幾年甚至一年入面算得係咩
HaHaHello 2020-10-29 13:23:28 All these will be included in the estimated polling errors.
So, it is very important to read the polling errors.
紅盒二號 2020-10-29 13:23:30 要有登記黨先有得討論
az都好好
pa nc其實唔差
亞發外父 2020-10-29 13:23:40 夠270就得啦
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生化武器 2020-10-29 13:24:01 2016希婆比例

GOP: DEM: Independent (%)
7: 89: 42

2016侵侵
GOP: DEM: Independent (%)
90: 9: 47

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Nadal 2020-10-29 13:24:08 公道啲, 或者今年特別啲, GOP 都多咗人提早投票呢?

不過FL 係Trump 嘅"home state"
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Klopp_lfc 2020-10-29 13:24:21 巴打個名我好喜歡
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紅盒二號 2020-10-29 13:24:38 你咪識就咪撚on9
ppucco(鐵三玖) 2020-10-29 13:25:00 我覺得MI最穩喎
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州長肯再出黎助攻未,我等到頸都長
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萬惡窮為首 2020-10-29 13:25:14 此回覆已被刪除

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HaHaHello 2020-10-29 13:25:32 The information crisis is not my personal problem. Otherwise, people will not create this term. Now, we really have too much information to digest.
我要食雞雞個雞雞 2020-10-29 13:25:42 除左民調
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生化武器 2020-10-29 13:25:44 今年DEM主力mail,好多已投完
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亞發外父 2020-10-29 13:26:09 應該都有,因為GOP都有叫人可以早投只係最好親身投啫